A retail shopping centre with storefronts under a canopy

Tenants, terms, rollover

Retail & mixed-use

Neighbourhood centres, unanchored strips, single-tenant net lease and ground-floor retail beneath apartments.

Retail is a lease-by-lease asset. The income is only as long as the leases, so underwriting spends most of its time on a rollover schedule: who expires when, at what rent, and what it costs to replace them.

What this programme covers

  • Neighbourhood and community centres, unanchored strip, single-tenant net lease
  • Mixed-use where retail is the ground floor of a residential or office building
  • Rollover schedule, tenant sales where reported, and a market rent comparison
  • Leasing and tenant-improvement reserves sized against the expiry schedule
The constraint that usually binds

Debt yield binds most retail deals, because the same NOI supports far less debt at a 10% floor than at 8%.

Test it on your numbers

What underwriting actually reads

01

The rollover schedule

Every lease plotted against the loan term. Concentrated expiry inside the term costs leverage; expiry beyond it earns some back.

02

Rent versus market

A tenant paying well above market is a rollover risk, not a strength. Underwritten rent is capped at market for space expiring inside the term.

03

Tenant credit and sales

Where sales are reported, occupancy cost as a share of sales says more about renewal probability than a credit rating does.

04

Co-tenancy and exclusives

Clauses that let a tenant leave or abate when a neighbour does are read in full, not summarised.

Who it suits

  • Owners of one to five centres
  • A net-lease acquisition with a long remaining term
  • Refinancing after a re-tenanting
  • Not this programme: Enclosed regional malls and single-tenant space with under three years of term remaining.

Illustrative scenarios in this class

  • S-02 — illustrativeUnanchored neighbourhood strip$4,960,000 · Debt yield bindsA 10% debt yield floor sets the loan at exactly ten times NOI. LTV would have permitted 70% and coverage 1.30× would have permitted more still; the floor is what binds, and it binds first.
  • S-09 — illustrativeGround-floor retail beneath 22 apartments$3,640,000 · Debt yield bindsBlended assets get blended floors. The residential income supports a 8.5% floor and the retail a 10%; weighted by NOI the file underwrites at 10% and sizes at ten times income.

All nine scenarios

Questions on this programme

Does a vacant anchor kill the deal?

It changes it. Vacancy is underwritten at zero income with the carry cost deducted, and the loan is sized on what remains — which is usually a bridge structure rather than permanent debt.

How are percentage rents treated?

Excluded from underwritten NOI unless there is a multi-year history, and then only at the trailing minimum.

Talk about a retail & mixed-use deal

Demonstration

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